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Autor/inn/enAndes, John; Paterson, John J.
TitelA Revisitation of Delphi Forecasts: Organizational Changes in Large School Districts.
Quelle(1977), (16 Seiten)Verfügbarkeit 
Dokumenttypgedruckt; Monographie
SchlagwörterDecentralization; Educational Change; Elementary Secondary Education; National Surveys; Organizational Change; Prediction; Research Methodology; School Community Relationship; School Districts; Tables (Data)
AbstractThis paper describes a follow-up study that was made to assess the accuracy of Delphi forecasts produced as part of a 1970 study on changes in the organizational structure of large school districts. The 1970 study examined the organizational models of 82 of the largest U.S. school districts, based on data gathered from superintendents of the districts and from chief state school officers. As part of that study, the Delphi technique was used to project organizational changes that were expected to occur in the study districts by 1974. The follow-up study surveyed the superintendents of the 82 study districts to learn which, if any, of the predicted changes have occurred. Findings of the follow-up study show that all of the organizational changes forecast to occur by 1974 have occurred, and that no changes forecast to occur after 1978 have occurred. (Author/JG)
Erfasst vonERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
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